Thursday 28 September 2017

Oil prices slip as U.S. crude output rises to highest since 2015- SapForex24

Oil prices edged lower on Thursday, after U.S. government data revealed a weekly climb in domestic production to the highest level in over two years.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures shed 20 cents, or around 0.4%, to $51.94 a barrel by 3:35AM ET (0735GMT), after rising 26 cents in the previous session to just below a five-month high.

Meanwhile, Brent crude futures, the benchmark for oil prices outside the U.S., dipped 37 cents, or about 0.6%, to $57.20 a barrel, moving further away from a 26-month peak reached earlier this week.
Oil prices ended higher on Wednesday, as investors digested weekly supply data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Crude oil inventories fell by 1.8 million barrels, according to the EIA, after posting hefty increases in each of the last three weeks, as refiners raised output following Hurricane Harvey last month.
However, gasoline stockpiles were up 1.1 million barrels for the week, rising for the first time in four weeks.

The report also showed that domestic crude production edged up by 0.4% to 9.55 million last week, the highest level since July 2015.



Prices have been well-supported in recent weeks amid growing optimism that the crude market was well on its way towards rebalancing as data showed strong compliance from major producers with their supply cut agreement.

In May, OPEC and non-OPEC members led by Russia agreed to extend production cuts of 1.8 million barrels per day for a period of nine months until March 2018 in a bid to reduce global oil inventories and support oil prices.

Elsewhere on Nymex, gasoline futures were little changed at $1.602 a gallon, while heating oil slumped 1.5 cents, or 0.8%, to $1.824 a gallon.

Natural gas futures held steady at $3.059 per million British thermal units, as traders looked ahead to weekly storage data due later in the global day.

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Tuesday 26 September 2017

Forex - Dollar Hovers Near 3-Week Highs Vs. Rivals- SapForex24

The dollar was hovering near three-week highs against other major currencies on Tuesday, amid fresh geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and North Korea and despite mixed messages by Federal Reserve officials.

The greenback strengthened after New York Federal Reserve President William Dudley on Monday said the Fed is on track to gradually raise interest rates given factors depressing inflation are "fading" and the U.S. economy's fundamentals are sound.

“I expect inflation will rise and stabilize around the (Fed's) 2% objective over the medium term," he said before adding that "in response, the Federal Reserve will likely continue to remove monetary policy accommodation gradually."

However, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans said shortly after that the U.S. central bank should wait until there are clear signs that income and prices are rising before raising interest rates again, warning that moving too fast would be a policy “misstep.”



Meanwhile, investors remained cautious after North Korea's foreign minister Ri Yong Ho said on Monday that President Donald Trump had declared war on the country and that Pyongyang reserved the right to shoot down U.S. bombers, even if they are not in its air space.

The safe haven yen was steady, with USD/JPY at 111.71, while USD/CHF gained 0.34% to trade at 0.9698.

EUR/USD slid 0.25% to 1.1818 as market participants were also still digesting the fact that Chancellor Angela Merkel won a fourth term in office on Sunday but will have to build a coalition to form a government as Conservatives lost support in the face of a surge by the anti-immigration Alternative for Germany (AfD).

The single currency also remained under pressure after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said Monday that that the bank's "ample" accommodation was still needed and added that currency volatility is a source of uncertainty that requires monitoring.

The pound edged higher, with GBP/USD up 0.13% at 1.3483.

Elsewhere, the Australian and New Zealand dollars were weaker, with AUD/USD down 0.25% at 0.79179 and with NZD/USD retreating 0.71% to 0.7221.

Meanwhile, USD/CAD edged 0.09% higherto trade at 1.2380.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.18% at 92.62 by 05:20 a.m. ET (09:20 GMT), just off a three-week high of 92.67 hit overnight.

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Tuesday 19 September 2017

Forex - Aussie, Kiwi Move Higher Markets Focus on Fed Meeting-SapForex24

The Australian and New Zealand dollars moved higher against their U.S. counterpart on Tuesday, as market participants were looking ahead to the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, due to begin later in the day.

AUD/USD rose 0.24% to 0.7977.

The Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged this week. However the U.S. central bank could give indications on when it plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet, as well as on any future interest rate decisions.

Investors were also eyeing U.S. data on building permits and housing starts due later Tuesday, for further indications on the health of the housing market.

Earlier in the day, the minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia's September meeting showed that policymakers remained favorable to low interest rates, saying that they allowed the economy to continue to strengthen.



The central bank also cautioned against the current strength of the Australian dollar, saying its “appreciation over recent months, driven in part by a broad depreciation of the U.S. dollar, was weighing on domestic growth” and that a further appreciation could “result in a slower pick-up in growth and inflation.”

NZD/USD advanced 0.44% to trade at 0.7290.

Meanwhile, concerns over tensions between the U.S. and North Korea remained subdued, although they were susceptible to pick up at any moment.

U.S. President Donald Trump was set to address the United Nations for the first time this week and Pyongyang was widely expected to be on the agenda.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was down 0.21%at 91.61 by 02:15 a.m. ET (06:15 GMT), just off a one-week low of 91.57 hit overnight.

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Monday 18 September 2017

Forex - Aussie, Kiwi Move Higher Vs. Greenback in Late Trade-SapForex24

The Australian and New Zealand dollars moved higher on Monday, as Friday's downbeat U.S. economic reports continued to weigh on the greenback and as markets begn to focus on the Federal Reserve's policy meeting scheduled later in the week.

AUD/USD gained 0.30% to 0.8028.

The greenback came under pressure after data on Friday showed that U.S. industrial and manufacturing production unexpectedly fell in August.


In addition, the U.S. Commerce Department said retail sales unexpectedly fell by 0.2% in August.
Later this week, the Fed was expected to leave interest rates unchanged but it could give indications on when it plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet.

NZD/USD was up 0.36% at 0.7316.

Markets seemed to have recovered from news late Thursday that North Korea fired a missile over Japan into the Pacific Ocean. It was the peninsula's second missile launch over Japanese territory in just over two weeks.

Pyongyang was expected to be discussed as U.S. President was preparing to address the United Nations for the first time this week.

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Thursday 14 September 2017

Commodities - Crude Oil Prices Ease But Hold on to Gains-SapForex24

Oil prices edged lower on Thursday, but held on the most of their gains from the previous session which came after data showing a record drop in gasoline inventories and indications that the oversupplied global market is starting to rebalance.

U.S. crude oil was trading at $49.27 a barrel after a 2.07% gain in the previous session.

Global benchmark Brent futures were at $55.09 a barrel after rising 1.49% in the previous session.
On Wednesday, the International Energy Agency said global oil supplies fell for the first time in four months in August, while also revising its 2017 oil demand estimate up to 1.6 million barrels a day from its July estimate of 1.5 million.

The data came a day after the latest OPEC report that showed oil production from the cartel fell last month for the first time since March.


The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said Tuesday that output declined by 79,000 barrels a day to 32.76 million in August, driven mainly by a drop in Libya, Gabon, Venezuela and Iraq.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that gasoline stockpiles fell by 8.4 million barrels last week, the largest weekly drop on record in EIA data going back to 1990.

Distillate stockpiles fell by 3.2 million barrels, also above expectations.

Crude oil inventories rose by 5.88 million barrels last week, the EIA said.

The build came after Hurricane Harvey shut production in some Gulf of Mexico fields and refineries in Texas as some domestic producers also trimmed output to avoid a larger glut at storage.

The reports from the IEA and OPEC offset concerns over the EIA stockpile build, supporting prices.
Elsewhere, gasoline futures fell 0.59% to $1.6347 a gallon and natural gas futures added 0.23%, to $3.064 per million British thermal units.


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Monday 11 September 2017

Forex - Dollar holds onto modest gains vs. rivals in quiet trade- SapForex24

The dollar held onto modest gains against other majors on Monday, as the greenback began to recover from sharp losses posted the previous week amid concerns over the impact of a second incoming hurricane and sustained tensions with North Korea.

Trading was expected to remain quiet with no major U.S. data to be released throughout the day.
The dollar regained some strength following an official downgrading of Hurricane Irma’s strength to Category 1, as the storm pummeled Florida over the weekend after devastating much of the Caribbean.

Massive storm surges have flooded areas across South Florida, while downed trees and power lines have left over 2 million residents without power.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Saturday that he will ask Congress to speed up its efforts to overhaul the U.S. tax code, citing the potential impact of Hurricane Irma.

The safe-haven yen and Swiss franc were lower, with USD/JPY up 0.55% at 108.41 and with USD/CHF climbing 0.51% to trade at 0.9489.



Market participants had been worried about a potential North Korean missile test on Saturday, to mark the anniversary of the founding of the nation.

However,investors were relieved to learn that Pyongyang chose to observe the 69th anniversary of its founding only by honoring the scientists behind the massive nuclear test it conducted last week.
Elsewhere, EUR/USD slipped 0.11% to 1.2023, while GBP/USD held steady at 1.3191.

The euro fell below the $1.20 level after European Central Bank Executive Board member Benoit Coeure said that persistent exogenous shocks to the exchange rate could lead to unwarranted tightening of financial conditions with undesirable consequences for inflation.

The remarks came after ECB President Mario Draghi indicated last week that the bank may start tapering its massive stimulus program this autumn.

The Australian dollar was steady, with AUD/USD at 0.8053, while NZD/USD rose 0.25% to 0.7281.
Meanwhile, USD/CAD slid 0.33% to 28-month low of 1.2120.

The Chinese yuan took a beating on Monday, as CNY/USD dropped 0.65% to 0.1533 after China’s central bank was reportedly planning to scrap reserve requirements for financial institutions settling foreign exchange forward yuan positions.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.13% at 91.43 by 05:20 a.m. ET (09:20 GMT), off Friday's 32-month low of 90.99.

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