Goldman says global crude stocks likely to keep falling- SapForex24

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) expects global crude oil inventories to keep falling due to production cuts and strong growth in demand, although stocks are likely to rise in the United States.

"We do not view the recent U.S. builds as derailing our forecast for a gradual draw in inventories, with in fact the rest of the world already showing signs of tightness," analysts at the bank said in a note dated Feb. 21.

"Given our unchanged 1.5 million barrels per day growth forecast for 2017, this higher base demand level should fully offset higher U.S. output."

The Wall Street bank reiterated its forecast for Brent and U.S. Crude prices to rise to $59 and $57.50 per barrel respectively in the second quarter, before dropping to $57 and $55 for the rest of 2017.

Oil prices held near multi-week highs on Wednesday, with the U.S. West Texas Intermediate April crude contract (CLc1) up 18 cents at $54.51 a barrel at 0228 GMT (5:28 a.m. ET), while Brent crude (LCOc1) was up 24 cents at $56.90.

Surging U.S. output has pushed crude and gasoline inventories to record highs, keeping a lid on prices after they climbed following an agreement by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other producers to cut output by about 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd).

"While the production cuts have so far reached a historically high level of compliance at 90 percent, the rebound in U.S. drilling activity has exceeded even our above consensus expectations," Goldman said.

However, the increase in U.S. drilling points to factors including further improvement in shale productivity and funding for the industry, rather than expectations of an increase in prices, the bank said.

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Oil firms as OPEC floats extended output cut markets still bloated- SapForex24

Oil prices edged up on Friday, lifted by a report that producer club OPEC could extend an output cut aimed at reining in a global fuel supply overhang.
Brent crude futures were trading at $55.77 per barrel at 0750 GMT (2:50 a.m. ET), up 12 cents from their last close.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures, were up 7 cents at $53.43 per barrel.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other producers including Russia plan to cut output by almost 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) during the first half of 2017, and estimates suggest compliance by OPEC is around 90 percent.

The cuts are aimed at curbing oversupply that has dogged markets since 2014.

To help rebalance the market, OPEC sources told Reuters that the supply reduction pact could be extended if all major producers showed "effective cooperation".

For now, inventories remain bloated and supplies high, especially in the United States.
Recent price movements reflect this, with Brent and WTI trading within a $5 per barrel price range this year, in what has become the longest and most range-bound period since a price slump began in mid-2014.

"Despite the headlines, the massive inventory glut in both oil and gasoline continues to thwart any upward momentum," said Stephen Innes, senior trader at OANDA in Singapore.

In the United States, rising output has helped push up Crude and fuel stocks to record highs.
In Asia, oil flows into the region remain as high as they were before the production cuts, data in Thomson Reuters Eikon shows, as exporters shield their big customers in a fight for market share.
This comes amid signs of stuttering demand growth in core markets, China and India.

In India, fuel demand growth fell in January, while in China sagging car sales and soaring gasoline and diesel exports also point to a slowdown in growth.

That leaves Europe, where OPEC has significantly cut supplies. However, Eikon data shows rising North Sea oil exports to Asia, indicating there is no real supply shortage there either.
Despite the ongoing glut, analysts expect oil markets to tighten in the longer term.

"In the fourth quarter of 2018, global oil demand will most likely surpass 100 million barrels per day," AB Bernstein said on Friday in a note to clients.

"If oil prices stay around $60 per barrel and GDP growth over 3 percent per annum, then oil demand growth will be stronger over the next 5 years, than the previous decade. What we are witnessing is a rather surprising renaissance of oil consumption," it added.

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Trade with a Difference in Comex Markets- SapForex24

There are many traders who try their luck with Comex markets. But not all the traders are successful. Some traders end up collect best profits while some end up in making heavy losses. Thus the trader should trade with a difference from majority of traders. The trader can trade on Comex Gold, Comex Silver, Comex Copper and other precious metals also.

The trader can also trade on Crude oil, Natural gas as well as other petroleum based commodities. The people who are new to the Comex trading and do not have proper knowledge about the Comex Trading Signals can trade by taking help of some international advisory firms. 

Trade with a Difference in Comex Markets-SapForex24

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The key to trade in the Comex Market is to forecast the comex signals properly. If the comex trading signals are correctly predict a good profit can be earn from the comex market. Another way beside the technical analysis to predict the Comex Signals is to trade on the basis of national and international news.

The news plays an important part in the direction of the trend. Positive and negative news will have an impact on the directions of the markets. The trader can use the above mentioned methods to trade successfully in the Comex Market.  

Oil stuck in familiar range as investors await U.S. supply data -sapforex24

Oil prices were little changed during European morning hours on Wednesday, holding in a familiar trading range as market players awaited fresh weekly information on U.S. stockpiles of crude and refined products.

Crude oil for March delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange inched up 6 cents, or around 0.1%, to $52.86 a barrel by 4:10AM ET (09:10GMT), after gaining 18 cents, or about 0.3%, a day earlier.

Elsewhere, Brent oil for April delivery on the ICE Futures Exchange in London added 3 cents, or less than 0.1%, to $55.60 a barrel. Futures rose 26 cents, or nearly 0.5%, on Tuesday.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration will release its weekly report on oil supplies at 10:30AM ET (15:30GMT) Wednesday, amid analyst expectations for a rise of 3.3 million barrels.
Gasoline inventories are expected to rise by 982,000 barrels while stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are forecast to fall by 903,000 barrels.

After markets closed Tuesday, the American Petroleum Institute said that U.S. oil inventories rose by 5.8 million barrels in the week ended January 27.

The API report also showed a gain of 2.9 million barrels in gasoline Stocks, while distillate stocks rose 2.3 million barrels.

Futures have been trading in a narrow range around the low-to-mid $50s over the past month as sentiment in oil markets has been torn between expectations of a rebound in U.S. shale production and hopes that oversupply may be curbed by output cuts announced by major global producers.

U.S. drilling activity has risen by more than 6% since mid-2016, taking it back to levels seen in late 2014, when strong U.S. crude output contributed to a collapse in oil prices.

The revival in U.S. drilling has raised concerns that the ongoing rebound in U.S. shale production could derail efforts by other major producers to rebalance global oil supply and demand.

OPEC and non-OPEC countries have made a strong start to lowering their oil output under the first such pact in more than a decade as global producers look to reduce oversupply and support prices.
January 1 marked the official start of the deal agreed by OPEC and non-OPEC member countries such as Russia in November last year to reduce output by almost 1.8 million barrels per day to 32.5 million for the next six months.

The deal, if carried out as planned, should reduce global supply by about 2%.

Elsewhere on Nymex, gasoline futures for March tacked on 0.5 cents, or 0.4%, to $1.559 a gallon, while March heating oil was little changed at $1.631 a gallon.

Natural gas futures for March delivery jumped 7.8 cents, or 2.5%, to $3.195 per million British thermal units.

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